2007/07/13

Wet Weekend Ahead

UPDATE - Sunday 4:30 PM Local Time (07:30 GMT)

The storm is pretty spent now and turned a bit more to the South which is what I have heard they commonly do here. The rain is pretty much over, but the wind will arrive after the center passes us a couple of hours. Shouldn't be anything serious. I'm glad we missed out on the excitement. In Kyushu, 2 people were killed by this storm and many injured. Over 8000 people evacuated homes, and over 30,000 experienced power outages. It was the strongest typhoon to hit Japan since 1951 when they started keeping records of them. Tomorrow is predicted to be sunny.

UPDATE
- Sunday 7:30 AM Local Time (22:30 GMT SAT)

Man-yi has slowed to Tropical Storm level. It rained steadily in Kashima City all day Saturday increasing in intensity last night. We have a break this morning which will give me time to get the potted plants into the garage, stow any loose objects, and close some storm shutters. Looks like 89 kph (55mph) winds and plenty of rain to come.

Analysis from Metorologist Jim Andrews, who blogs at AccuWeather:

"About 24 hours (if not less) of truly stormy weather owing directly to Man-Yi lies ahead for southern and southeastern Japan. As a tropical storm, Man-Yi will be south of Nagoya Sunday morning, local time, and east of Tokyo Sunday evening. Torrential rains, more than high winds, will be the primary impactful weather flowing from this storm. Local rainfall will be 12-16 inches, or 30-40 cms, with 4 to 8 and locally 10 inches (25 cms) in greater Tokyo."


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Looks like stormy weather is headed our way. Typhoon Man-yi is presently scouring Okinawa with heavy rains and winds. Earlier today (Friday in Japan, Thursday in the USA) Naha Airport reported winds of 62 knots gusting to 82 kts (71 to 94 mph) at the surface and 85 to 95 kts (98 to 109 mph) just above the surface. Landing speed in a Cessna 172 is half of that.

It is predicted to be over us on Sunday morning and should be down to a Catagory 1 or less by then - but that still could mean plenty of wind and rain. Hopefully it will pass to the south of us. We'll just have to keep "an eye" on it.

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Wave height map from this morning - 09JST on July 13, 2007
numbers indicate height in meters 13 meters= 42.6 feet
"Kyotsukette kudasai" (Y'all be careful now, hear?)


Guess we won't be taking Momo to the beach. Lots of time yet for us to batten down the hatches around here and reef the sails.

Whatever your weather looks like, be safe out there and have a good weekend.

12 comments:

PeterAtLarge said...

Good luck with your storm. The graphics are impressive--and beautiful in themselves. Here in California, we could desperately use some of the rain you're going to get. A pitiful rainfall this year, and drought ahead, along with a dangerous fire season. Cheers to you over there, so far away. PaL

Pandabonium said...

Thanks PaL. I grew up in southern California (Tarzana) and remember well the two seasons there - brush fire season and mudslide season. ;^) I hope you get some gentle rain soon.

The wave height chart really struck me with its colors.

You have interesting blogs. The one about your Europe cruise has great pictures on it.

Thanks for visiting. Cheers.

laminar_flow said...

God speed.

Pandabonium said...

Laminar flow - Vinaka

We get several of these things a year and they are usually well spent by the time they reach this part of Japan, though last year one caused shipwrecks and a power outage locally.

The people in the southwest - Okinawa and Kyushu - take the brunt of the typhoons and experience flash floods and mudslides.

Peceli and Wendy's Blog said...

Panda,
Is a typhoon the same as a hurricane or cyclone that we get in the South Pacific?
In Oz we have had some huge gales this year - the weather is all the place - the warmest May for yonks and the wettest June since 1950. Crazy.
w.

Pandabonium said...

Wendy - Wow, that is crazy. Australia has had such a drought, and you say the wettest June since '50!

Man-yi has dumped a lot of rain in the southwest, but now is expected to be down to a tropical storm by the time it gets here - still wet and wild.

Yes, a typhoon is the equivalent of a cyclone or hurricane - the label just depends on where it is on the globe.

Swinebread said...

The last time I was in Japan I lost big time at pachinko. My in-laws said that was what made our luck change and diverted a big storm that was heading our way…

Time for gambling?

Pandabonium said...

Swinebread - Never. It's a long story, but early in life I did the math on gambling and it literally saved my life. It has never interested me in the least ever since.

The Moody Minstrel said...

We should be very thankful that we have that great, big deflector shield south of us known as the Boso Peninsula (most of Chiba Prefecture). Most typhoons that come our way wind up ricocheting off of it and heading out to sea...sometimes to come back and hit further to the north in Miyagi or Iwate Prefecture.

Boso, you did it again! Thanks a bunch!

bonnie said...

Glad to read the good news this morning.

Don Snabulus said...

Glad all is well with you and yours. I've not yet experienced a tropical storm or typhoon/hurricane and I hope the streak continues.

Pandabonium said...

Moody - well, since Boso is pretty much flat (like Florida) except for the Boso Hills, which aren't much, I think it more probable that we as well as Chiba are indebted to Mt. Fuji and the other ragged mountainous features of Honshu for wearing down typhoons before they reach us. Just glad I don't live in southern Kyushu.

Bonnie - Mahalo.

Snabulus - thank you. Where's your sense of adventure? (I draw the line at tornadoes however).